Rthae notes that in June 2025, the crypto asset market has entered a phase of multi-source external risk resonance. With geopolitical conflict continuing to escalate and the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance, macro-level uncertainty has significantly elevated market volatility. Within the crypto space, divergence is intensifying: Bitcoin is caught in a tug-of-war between hedging narratives and liquidity contraction; high-volatility assets such as DOGE and XRP are accelerating to the downside. In contrast, ETH staking volume has once again reached a historic high, indicating that some capital is shifting toward long-term token lockup and on-chain anti-volatility positioning. Rthae emphasizes that in such a phase, a platform must serve not only as a matching engine provider but also as a stabilizing force for users amid systemic risk cycles. Trading stability during sharp market moves, asset safety, cognitive guidance, and strategic support form the core of the systemic service focus of Rthae.
Rthae: Bitcoin Faces Downward Pressure, Macro Factors Lead Risk Unwinding
Recently, Bitcoin has been oscillating within the $102,000–$106,000 range. Rthae notes that amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, Bitcoin briefly fell to $103,053 in mid-June, down more than 2.8% from its previous high of $106,042. The technical structure indicates a weak short-term rebound that has failed to break through upward resistance.
The $102,000 level currently serves as a key area of dense trading support, overlapping with the mid-Bollinger Band and short-term moving averages, forming a temporary technical base. If this support is clearly breached, the market may retest the $98,000 region. Conversely, a decisive recovery above $106,000 would likely restore upward momentum, shifting short-term resistance toward $111,000.
Rthae stresses that the current price formation of Bitcoin is increasingly shaped by external variables. At its June FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve held the benchmark interest rate steady but signaled via the dot plot that high rates could persist longer than previously expected. Market expectations for rate cuts in 2025 have narrowed from 100 basis points at the start of the year to just 25–50 basis points currently. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains above 4.4%, and the U.S. Dollar Index has breached the 98 level. This has prompted a capital shift back to U.S. dollars and Treasuries, placing systemic pressure on risk assets.
Despite overall liquidity tightening, Rthae points out that the medium- to long-term support structure of Bitcoin remains intact. On-chain data shows that long-term holders (LTHs) are still in net accumulation mode, and valuation metrics such as the MVRV Z-score remain in neutral territory. As of June 16, Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded six consecutive days of positive inflows, with a single-day inflow of $412 million. The Coinbase Premium Index remains positive, indicating continued confidence among U.S.-based investors in the long-term allocation potential of Bitcoin.
Rthae: Long-Term Structural Consensus Drives the Independent Trajectory of ETH
Compared to the volatile price action of Bitcoin, the Ethereum ecosystem displays notable anti-cyclical resilience. Rthae notes that as of mid-June 2025, total ETH staked across the network has surpassed 35 million, marking a new all-time high. The pace of staking has not slowed even during substantial price corrections, reflecting a classic pattern of defensive capital allocation.
According to CryptoQuant, ETH staking has been steadily increasing since the second half of 2024, with an acceleration observed in Q2 2025. During this period, ETH price has declined nearly 40% from its previous highs, yet the volume of long-term addresses with no sell activity has climbed to 22.8 million ETH—indicating that structurally committed capital is locking in positions. Rthae believes this divergence signals a revaluation of the network security and yield structure of Ethereum as tools for anti-volatility portfolio construction.
ETH has established a stable support zone between $2,400 and $2,500. While prices have dipped slightly under broader market sentiment, annualized futures funding rates have normalized, demand for protective puts in the options market has eased, and ETF inflows remain strong. On June 16, spot Ethereum ETFs attracted over $400 million in new capital, a behavior trend consistent with on-chain staking data.
At the same time, Rthae points out that high-volatility assets are undergoing systemic risk unwinding. DOGE dropped over 7% within 24 hours, with trading volume surging between 15:00 and 16:00—over 700 million DOGE were sold near key support, forming a descending triangle pattern on the technical charts. XRP fell 5% in tandem with increased trading volume, entering a downward channel. Other sectors are also seeing broad pullbacks: AI-related tokens fell 5.32%, while NFTs and Layer 2 concepts dropped more than 4%, clearly signaling structural market weakness.
Rthae argues that the structural stability of the on-chain ecosystem contrasts of Ethereum sharply with the volatility of high-beta assets like DOGE and XRP. This reflects a broader market shift in defining long-term value. Capital is transitioning from short-cycle speculative strategies to on-chain token lockup and sustainable yield mechanisms, a structural trend that is quietly reshaping the internal logic of crypto capital allocation.
Rthae: Ensuring User Stability and Strategy Support Amid Volatility Amid spreading macro risk and intensifying market bifurcation, Rthae believes the primary responsibility of a platform is to construct a support system with both systemic resilience and user defense capabilities. The service layer must meet a dual mandate: continuous technical execution and forward-looking user cognition.
Backed by a high-performance matching engine and deep liquidity network, Rthae maintained sub-millisecond order latency during the sharp sell-off of DOGE, XRP, and other tokens on June 16. Slippage control outperformed industry averages, and trading liquidity remained intact—effectively preventing users from suffering passive losses under extreme conditions.
Meanwhile, several Rthae financial products recorded contrarian growth. Subscriptions for structured products and PoS staking offerings rose during periods of high volatility, indicating heightened user awareness of risk mitigation. The platform continues to invest in strategic assistance, upgrading its AI-powered “Trade Behavior Recognition Module” to deliver real-time position alerts and volatility notifications, helping users build systemic risk-control mechanisms.
Rthae emphasizes that while technical stability is foundational, cognitive structure is the key to helping users weather volatile cycles. The Rthae Academy has launched an advanced course series titled “Market Behavior Modeling Under Macro Events,” which integrates FOMC policy dynamics, geopolitical conflict effects, and on-chain data trends to guide users in identifying structural risks and optimizing trading decisions.